Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Pistons vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Sunday, January 4

FinalRocket Arena · FanDuel SN OH, FanDuel SN DET, NBA League Pass
45% win DETwin CLE 55%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin1.7
Projected total233
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (20-16) host the Detroit Pistons (25-9) on Sunday, January 4 at 2:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 114 – Cavaliers 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 55% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Cavaliers are 13-8 at home and the Pistons are 12-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Cavaliers and 6-4 for the Pistons (current streaks: Cavaliers W3, Pistons L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Cavaliers 118 – 116 Pistons, a margin of about 1.7 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Pistons need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +3.7 / DET +4.2 per game
-0.6
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+1.7

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
25%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Pistons win by 10+
17%

Stat comparison Current season

DETCLE
118.0
Points scored / game
120.1
113.0
Points allowed / game
115.8
45.9 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
37.9 %
3-point %
36.7 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
74.4 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
47.0
27.0
Assists / game
26.3
8.0
Steals / game
8.8
7.2
Blocks / game
7.5
15.6
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #227pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #27assists
Ronald Holland IIF · #510rebounds
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4530pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #106assists
Jaylon TysonG · #207rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DETCLE
25-9Record20-16
118.0Points scored / game120.1
113.0Points allowed / game115.8
+4.2Adjusted margin / game+3.7
L1Current streakW3
6-4Last 10 games5-5
12-6 roadHome / road record13-8 home
44-38 (+1.9)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.