Pistons vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 3
At a glance
The Cleveland Cavaliers (38-24) host the Detroit Pistons (45-14) on Tuesday, March 3 at 7:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 109 – Cavaliers 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 52% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 20-11 at home and the Pistons are 21-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Cavaliers and 8-2 for the Pistons (current streaks: Cavaliers W1, Pistons W3).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Cavaliers 116 – 115 Pistons, a margin of about 0.8 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Pistons need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DETCLE
Top performers
Pistons
Jalen DurenC · #024pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #214assistsJalen DurenC · #014reboundsCavaliers
Jaylon TysonG · #2022pts / game
James HardenG · #17assists
Craig Porter Jr.G · #98reboundsRecent form
DETCLEHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
CLE
Team comparison
| DET | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| 45-14 | Record | 38-24 |
| 117.0 | Points scored / game | 119.7 |
| 110.1 | Points allowed / game | 114.6 |
| +5.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.3 |
| W3 | Current streak | W1 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 21-7 road | Home / road record | 20-11 home |
| 44-38 (+1.9) | Last season | 64-18 (+9.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pistons
Injury report Cavaliers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.