Pistons vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Monday, May 11
At a glance
The Cleveland Cavaliers (57-35) host the Detroit Pistons (66-26) on Monday, May 11 at 8:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 103 – Cavaliers 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 50% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Cavaliers are 32-14 at home and the Pistons are 29-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Cavaliers and 6-4 for the Pistons (current streaks: Cavaliers W1, Pistons L1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Cavaliers 115 – 116 Pistons, a margin of about 0.1 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Cavaliers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DETCLE
Top performers
Pistons
Caris LeVertG · #1224pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #26assists
Tobias HarrisF · #238reboundsCavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4543pts / game
James HardenG · #111assists
Evan MobleyC · #48reboundsRecent form
DETCLEHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
CLE
Team comparison
| DET | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| 66-26 | Record | 57-35 |
| 116.2 | Points scored / game | 118.9 |
| 109.1 | Points allowed / game | 114.5 |
| +6.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.7 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 29-16 road | Home / road record | 32-14 home |
| 44-38 (+1.9) | Last season | 64-18 (+9.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pistons
Injury report Cavaliers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.