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Pistons vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Saturday, May 9

FinalRocket Arena · NBC, Peacock
51% win DETwin CLE 49%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin0.2
Projected total229
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (56-35) host the Detroit Pistons (66-25) on Saturday, May 9 at 3:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 109 – Cavaliers 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 51% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Cavaliers are 31-14 at home and the Pistons are 29-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Cavaliers and 7-3 for the Pistons (current streaks: Cavaliers L2, Pistons W5).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Cavaliers 115 – 116 Pistons, a margin of about 0.2 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Cavaliers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +3.7 / DET +6.1 per game
-2.5
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
-0.2

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
21%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Pistons win by 10+
22%

Stat comparison Current season

DETCLE
116.3
Points scored / game
118.9
109.1
Points allowed / game
114.6
45.9 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
37.9 %
3-point %
36.7 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
74.4 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
47.0
27.0
Assists / game
26.3
8.0
Steals / game
8.8
7.2
Blocks / game
7.5
15.6
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #227pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #210assists
Cade CunninghamG · #210rebounds
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4535pts / game
James HardenG · #17assists
Donovan MitchellG · #4510rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DETCLE
66-25Record56-35
116.3Points scored / game118.9
109.1Points allowed / game114.6
+6.1Adjusted margin / game+3.7
W5Current streakL2
7-3Last 10 games5-5
29-15 roadHome / road record31-14 home
44-38 (+1.9)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.