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Cavaliers vs Pistons prediction NBA · Tuesday, May 5

FinalLittle Caesars Arena · NBCSN, Peacock
36% win CLEwin DET 64%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin4.5
Projected total230
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Detroit Pistons (64-25) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (56-33) on Tuesday, May 5 at 7:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 101 – Pistons 111. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 64% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 35-10 at home and the Cavaliers are 25-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Pistons and 6-4 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Pistons W3, Cavaliers W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Pistons, but the Cavaliers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pistons 117 – 113 Cavaliers, a margin of about 4.5 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Cavaliers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pistons
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DET +6.1 / CLE +3.9 per game
+2.2
Home-court advantagePistons at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pistons
+4.5

Scenarios

Pistons win by 10+
33%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Cavaliers win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

CLEDET
119.3
Points scored / game
116.4
114.7
Points allowed / game
109.3
46.8 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
36.7 %
3-point %
37.9 %
37.5
3-pointers attempted / game
36.4
79.3 %
Free throw %
74.4 %
47.0
Rebounds / game
46.8
26.3
Assists / game
27.0
8.8
Steals / game
8.0
7.5
Blocks / game
7.2
17.3
Turnovers / game
15.6

Top performers

Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4523pts / game
James HardenG · #17assists
Evan MobleyC · #49rebounds
Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #223pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #27assists
Jalen DurenC · #012rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CLE
No games played yet.
DET
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CLEDET
56-33Record64-25
119.3Points scored / game116.4
114.7Points allowed / game109.3
+3.9Adjusted margin / game+6.1
W1Current streakW3
6-4Last 10 games7-3
25-19 roadHome / road record35-10 home
64-18 (+9.5)Last season44-38 (+1.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.