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Knicks vs 76ers prediction NBA · Sunday, May 10

FinalXfinity Mobile Arena · ABC
66% win NYwin PHI 34%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin5.0
Projected total228
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (50-43) host the New York Knicks (61-31) on Sunday, May 10 at 3:30 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 144 – 76ers 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 66% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the 76ers are 25-21 at home and the Knicks are 26-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the 76ers and 7-3 for the Knicks (current streaks: 76ers L3, Knicks W6).

The analysis Model

The Knicks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects 76ers 111 – 116 Knicks, a margin of about 5.0 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-1.3 vs +6.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI -1.3 / NY +6.1 per game
-7.3
Home-court advantage76ers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor 76ers
-5.0

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+
11%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Knicks win by 10+
35%

Stat comparison Current season

NYPHI
116.6
Points scored / game
113.8
109.4
Points allowed / game
115.3
42.2 %
Field goal %
42.8 %
35.9 %
3-point %
32.6 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
35.0
75.8 %
Free throw %
77.5 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
42.2
26.8
Assists / game
24.6
7.2
Steals / game
9.8
4.4
Blocks / game
5.6
14.8
Turnovers / game
12.6

Top performers

Knicks
Miles McBrideG · #225pts / game
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3210assists
Josh HartG · #39rebounds
76ers
Joel EmbiidC · #2124pts / game
VJ EdgecombeG · #777assists
VJ EdgecombeG · #776rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
PHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

NYPHI
61-31Record50-43
116.6Points scored / game113.8
109.4Points allowed / game115.3
+6.1Adjusted margin / game-1.3
W6Current streakL3
7-3Last 10 games4-6
26-20 roadHome / road record25-21 home
51-31 (+4.1)Last season24-58 (-6.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.