76ers vs Knicks prediction NBA · Friday, December 19
At a glance
The New York Knicks (20-7) host the Philadelphia 76ers (14-11) on Friday, December 19 at 7:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 116 – Knicks 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 74% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Knicks are 14-1 at home and the 76ers are 6-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Knicks and 5-5 for the 76ers (current streaks: Knicks W7, 76ers L1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Knicks dominate this matchup. The model projects Knicks 119 – 111 76ers, a margin of about 8.0 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Knicks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+6.1 vs -1.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Knicks' offense (119.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHINY
Top performers
76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #030pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #09assists
Andre DrummondC · #013rebounds
Knicks
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3222pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #119assists
Mitchell RobinsonC · #416reboundsRecent form
PHI
NYHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
Team comparison
| PHI | NY | |
|---|---|---|
| 14-11 | Record | 20-7 |
| 114.5 | Points scored / game | 119.3 |
| 115.8 | Points allowed / game | 112.1 |
| -1.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.1 |
| L1 | Current streak | W7 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 6-4 road | Home / road record | 14-1 home |
| 24-58 (-6.2) | Last season | 51-31 (+4.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report 76ers
Injury report Knicks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
PHI