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76ers vs Knicks prediction NBA · Friday, December 19

FinalMadison Square Garden · Prime Video, DAZN (MSG)
26% win PHIwin NY 74%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin8.0
Projected total229
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The New York Knicks (20-7) host the Philadelphia 76ers (14-11) on Friday, December 19 at 7:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 116 – Knicks 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 74% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Knicks are 14-1 at home and the 76ers are 6-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Knicks and 5-5 for the 76ers (current streaks: Knicks W7, 76ers L1).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Knicks dominate this matchup. The model projects Knicks 119 – 111 76ers, a margin of about 8.0 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Knicks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (+6.1 vs -1.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' offense (119.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +6.1 / PHI -1.1 per game
+7.3
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Back-to-backKnicks played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Knicks
+8.0

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
43%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
26%
76ers win by 10+
8%

Stat comparison Current season

PHINY
114.5
Points scored / game
119.3
115.8
Points allowed / game
112.1
42.8 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
32.6 %
3-point %
35.9 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
77.5 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
48.2
24.6
Assists / game
26.8
9.8
Steals / game
7.2
5.6
Blocks / game
4.4
12.6
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #030pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #09assists
Andre DrummondC · #013rebounds
Knicks
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3222pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #119assists
Mitchell RobinsonC · #416rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PHINY
14-11Record20-7
114.5Points scored / game119.3
115.8Points allowed / game112.1
-1.1Adjusted margin / game+6.1
L1Current streakW7
5-5Last 10 games9-1
6-4 roadHome / road record14-1 home
24-58 (-6.2)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.