76ers vs Knicks prediction NBA · Saturday, January 3
At a glance
The New York Knicks (24-11) host the Philadelphia 76ers (18-14) on Saturday, January 3 at 7:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 130 – Knicks 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 70% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Knicks are 16-3 at home and the 76ers are 9-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Knicks and 5-5 for the 76ers (current streaks: Knicks L2, 76ers W2).
The analysis Model
The Knicks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Knicks 118 – 112 76ers, a margin of about 6.5 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Knicks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+4.8 vs -1.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Knicks' offense (119.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHINY
Top performers
76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #036pts / game
Paul GeorgeF · #136assists
Joel EmbiidC · #2110reboundsKnicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1131pts / game
OG AnunobyF · #86assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3214reboundsRecent form
PHINYHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
PHI
Team comparison
| PHI | NY | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-14 | Record | 24-11 |
| 114.7 | Points scored / game | 119.4 |
| 116.0 | Points allowed / game | 113.8 |
| -1.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.8 |
| W2 | Current streak | L2 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 9-6 road | Home / road record | 16-3 home |
| 24-58 (-6.2) | Last season | 51-31 (+4.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report 76ers
Injury report Knicks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.