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Knicks vs 76ers prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 11

FinalXfinity Mobile Arena · ESPN, DAZN (MSG)
52% win NYwin PHI 48%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin0.7
Projected total229
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (30-23) host the New York Knicks (35-20) on Wednesday, February 11 at 7:30 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 138 – 76ers 89. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 52% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the 76ers are 15-13 at home and the Knicks are 13-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the 76ers and 8-2 for the Knicks (current streaks: 76ers L1, Knicks L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects 76ers 114 – 115 Knicks, a margin of about 0.7 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Knicks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-0.2 vs +4.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI -0.2 / NY +4.4 per game
-4.6
Home-court advantage76ers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backKnicks played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor 76ers
-0.7

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Knicks win by 10+
23%

Stat comparison Current season

NYPHI
117.4
Points scored / game
115.4
112.2
Points allowed / game
115.6
42.2 %
Field goal %
42.8 %
35.9 %
3-point %
32.6 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
35.0
75.8 %
Free throw %
77.5 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
42.2
26.8
Assists / game
24.6
7.2
Steals / game
9.8
4.4
Blocks / game
5.6
14.8
Turnovers / game
12.6

Top performers

Knicks
Jose AlvaradoG · #526pts / game
Josh HartG · #39assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3211rebounds
76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #032pts / game
Trendon WatfordF · #94assists
Kelly Oubre Jr.G · #107rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
PHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

NYPHI
35-20Record30-23
117.4Points scored / game115.4
112.2Points allowed / game115.6
+4.4Adjusted margin / game-0.2
L1Current streakL1
8-2Last 10 games6-4
13-13 roadHome / road record15-13 home
51-31 (+4.1)Last season24-58 (-6.2)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.