76ers vs Knicks prediction NBA · Monday, May 4
At a glance
The New York Knicks (58-31) host the Philadelphia 76ers (50-40) on Monday, May 4 at 8:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 98 – Knicks 137. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 76% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 33-11 at home and the 76ers are 25-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Knicks and 7-3 for the 76ers (current streaks: Knicks W3, 76ers W3).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Knicks dominate this matchup. The model projects Knicks 118 – 109 76ers, a margin of about 8.9 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+5.8 vs -0.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHINY
Top performers
76ers
Paul GeorgeF · #1317pts / game
Quentin GrimesG · #54assists
Kelly Oubre Jr.G · #105reboundsKnicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1135pts / game
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #326assists
Ariel HukportiC · #559reboundsRecent form
PHINYHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
PHI
Team comparison
| PHI | NY | |
|---|---|---|
| 50-40 | Record | 58-31 |
| 114.2 | Points scored / game | 116.5 |
| 115.2 | Points allowed / game | 109.8 |
| -0.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.8 |
| W3 | Current streak | W3 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 25-20 road | Home / road record | 33-11 home |
| 24-58 (-6.2) | Last season | 51-31 (+4.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report 76ers
Injury report Knicks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.