Spurs vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Friday, May 15
At a glance
The Minnesota Timberwolves (55-38) host the San Antonio Spurs (69-24) on Friday, May 15 at 9:30 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 139 – Timberwolves 109. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 55% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Timberwolves are 30-16 at home and the Spurs are 33-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Timberwolves and 7-3 for the Spurs (current streaks: Timberwolves L1, Spurs W1).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Timberwolves 114 – 116 Spurs, a margin of about 1.5 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Timberwolves need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SAMIN
Top performers
Spurs
Stephon CastleG · #532pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #49assists
Stephon CastleG · #511rebounds
Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #524pts / game
Ayo DosunmuG · #139assists
Naz ReidC · #07reboundsRecent form
SA
MINTeam comparison
| SA | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 69-24 | Record | 55-38 |
| 118.6 | Points scored / game | 116.5 |
| 111.3 | Points allowed / game | 113.7 |
| +6.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.4 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 33-14 road | Home / road record | 30-16 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 49-33 (+5.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Timberwolves
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
SA