Spurs vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Sunday, January 11
At a glance
The Minnesota Timberwolves (25-14) host the San Antonio Spurs (27-12) on Sunday, January 11 at 7:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 103 – Timberwolves 104. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 62% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Timberwolves are 14-6 at home and the Spurs are 14-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Timberwolves and 6-4 for the Spurs (current streaks: Timberwolves L1, Spurs W2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Timberwolves, but the Spurs have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Timberwolves 117 – 113 Spurs, a margin of about 3.8 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Timberwolves and the Spurs played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SAMIN
Top performers
Spurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #129pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #55assists
Luke KornetC · #712reboundsTimberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #523pts / game
Donte DiVincenzoG · #07assists
Rudy GobertC · #2714reboundsRecent form
SAMIN
SA
Team comparison
| SA | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-12 | Record | 25-14 |
| 117.3 | Points scored / game | 118.9 |
| 114.0 | Points allowed / game | 113.7 |
| +2.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.4 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 14-7 road | Home / road record | 14-6 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 49-33 (+5.0) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Timberwolves
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.