Timberwolves vs Spurs prediction NBA · Saturday, January 17
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (28-14) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (27-15) on Saturday, January 17 at 8:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 123 – Spurs 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 56% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Spurs are 14-5 at home and the Timberwolves are 12-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Spurs and 7-3 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Spurs W1, Timberwolves L1).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Spurs 116 – 114 Timberwolves, a margin of about 1.9 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Timberwolves played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Timberwolves need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MINSA
Top performers
Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #555pts / game
Jaden McDanielsF · #35assists
Julius RandleF · #3010reboundsSpurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #139pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #412assistsVictor WembanyamaF · #19reboundsRecent form
MINSA
SA
Team comparison
| MIN | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-15 | Record | 28-14 |
| 118.7 | Points scored / game | 116.7 |
| 113.3 | Points allowed / game | 113.6 |
| +4.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.6 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 12-9 road | Home / road record | 14-5 home |
| 49-33 (+5.0) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Timberwolves
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.