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Spurs vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Sunday, November 30

FinalTarget Center · FanDuel SN North, FanDuel SN SW, NBA League Pass
42% win SAwin MIN 58%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin2.5
Projected total229
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Minnesota Timberwolves (11-8) host the San Antonio Spurs (13-5) on Sunday, November 30 at 7:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 112 – Timberwolves 125. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 58% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Timberwolves are 6-3 at home and the Spurs are 5-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Timberwolves and 7-3 for the Spurs (current streaks: Timberwolves W1, Spurs W2).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Timberwolves 116 – 113 Spurs, a margin of about 2.5 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Timberwolves played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Timberwolves
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIN +4.1 / SA +2.3 per game
+1.8
Home-court advantageTimberwolves at home
+2.3
Back-to-backTimberwolves played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Timberwolves
+2.5

Scenarios

Timberwolves win by 10+
27%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Spurs win by 10+
16%

Stat comparison Current season

SAMIN
117.1
Points scored / game
117.1
114.4
Points allowed / game
112.3
46.0 %
Field goal %
47.3 %
34.6 %
3-point %
38.4 %
38.2
3-pointers attempted / game
40.6
78.3 %
Free throw %
62.7 %
45.0
Rebounds / game
51.6
28.2
Assists / game
27.0
9.8
Steals / game
9.2
6.6
Blocks / game
4.4
12.8
Turnovers / game
16.2

Top performers

Spurs
De'Aaron FoxG · #425pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #44assists
Keldon JohnsonF · #38rebounds
Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #532pts / game
Julius RandleF · #3012assists
Rudy GobertC · #278rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SA
No games played yet.
MIN
No games played yet.

Team comparison

SAMIN
13-5Record11-8
117.1Points scored / game117.1
114.4Points allowed / game112.3
+2.3Adjusted margin / game+4.1
W2Current streakW1
7-3Last 10 games6-4
5-3 roadHome / road record6-3 home
34-48 (-2.8)Last season49-33 (+5.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

San Antonio Spurs Injury report Spurs

No injuries reported.

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.