Timberwolves vs Spurs prediction NBA · Tuesday, May 12
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (68-24) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (55-37) on Tuesday, May 12 at 8:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 97 – Spurs 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 68% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Spurs are 35-10 at home and the Timberwolves are 25-21 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Spurs and 6-4 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Spurs L1, Timberwolves W1).
The analysis Model
The Spurs are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Spurs 118 – 112 Timberwolves, a margin of about 5.7 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Timberwolves need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MINSA
Top performers
Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #520pts / game
Ayo DosunmuG · #134assists
Julius RandleF · #3010reboundsSpurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #127pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #56assistsVictor WembanyamaF · #117reboundsRecent form
MINSA
SA
Team comparison
| MIN | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 55-37 | Record | 68-24 |
| 116.7 | Points scored / game | 118.5 |
| 113.6 | Points allowed / game | 111.4 |
| +2.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.0 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 25-21 road | Home / road record | 35-10 home |
| 49-33 (+5.0) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Timberwolves
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.