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Spurs vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Friday, May 8

FinalTarget Center · Prime Video
54% win SAwin MIN 46%
FavoriteSA
Projected margin1.1
Projected total230
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Minnesota Timberwolves (54-36) host the San Antonio Spurs (67-23) on Friday, May 8 at 9:30 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 115 – Timberwolves 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 54% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Timberwolves are 29-15 at home and the Spurs are 32-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Timberwolves and 7-3 for the Spurs (current streaks: Timberwolves L1, Spurs W1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Timberwolves 115 – 116 Spurs, a margin of about 1.1 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Timberwolves need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Timberwolves
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIN +2.7 / SA +6.1 per game
-3.4
Home-court advantageTimberwolves at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Timberwolves
-1.1

Scenarios

Timberwolves win by 10+
19%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Spurs win by 10+
24%

Stat comparison Current season

SAMIN
118.7
Points scored / game
116.8
111.5
Points allowed / game
113.7
46.0 %
Field goal %
47.3 %
34.6 %
3-point %
38.4 %
38.2
3-pointers attempted / game
40.6
78.3 %
Free throw %
62.7 %
45.0
Rebounds / game
51.6
28.2
Assists / game
27.0
9.8
Steals / game
9.2
6.6
Blocks / game
4.4
12.8
Turnovers / game
16.2

Top performers

Spurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #139pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #512assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #115rebounds
Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #532pts / game
Anthony EdwardsG · #56assists
Anthony EdwardsG · #514rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SA
No games played yet.
MIN
No games played yet.

Team comparison

SAMIN
67-23Record54-36
118.7Points scored / game116.8
111.5Points allowed / game113.7
+6.1Adjusted margin / game+2.7
W1Current streakL1
7-3Last 10 games7-3
32-13 roadHome / road record29-15 home
34-48 (-2.8)Last season49-33 (+5.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

San Antonio Spurs Injury report Spurs

No injuries reported.

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.