Timberwolves vs Spurs prediction NBA · Wednesday, May 6
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (66-23) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (54-35) on Wednesday, May 6 at 9:30 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 95 – Spurs 133. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 66% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Spurs are 34-10 at home and the Timberwolves are 25-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Spurs and 7-3 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Spurs L1, Timberwolves W2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Spurs, but the Timberwolves have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Spurs 118 – 113 Timberwolves, a margin of about 5.1 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Timberwolves need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MINSA
Top performers
Timberwolves
Julius RandleF · #3012pts / game
Jaden McDanielsF · #34assists
Rudy GobertC · #2710reboundsSpurs
Stephon CastleG · #521pts / game
Dylan HarperG · #25assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #115reboundsRecent form
MINSA
SA
Team comparison
| MIN | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 54-35 | Record | 66-23 |
| 117.1 | Points scored / game | 118.5 |
| 113.5 | Points allowed / game | 111.6 |
| +3.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.9 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 25-20 road | Home / road record | 34-10 home |
| 49-33 (+5.0) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Timberwolves
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.