Timberwolves vs Spurs prediction NBA · Monday, May 4
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (66-22) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (53-35) on Monday, May 4 at 9:30 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 104 – Spurs 102. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 66% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Spurs are 34-9 at home and the Timberwolves are 24-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Spurs and 7-3 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Spurs W3, Timberwolves W1).
The analysis Model
The Spurs are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Spurs 118 – 113 Timberwolves, a margin of about 5.2 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Timberwolves need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MINSA
Top performers
Timberwolves
Julius RandleF · #3021pts / game
Mike ConleyG · #456assistsJulius RandleF · #3010reboundsSpurs
Dylan HarperG · #218pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #46assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #115reboundsRecent form
MINSA
SA
Team comparison
| MIN | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 53-35 | Record | 66-22 |
| 117.2 | Points scored / game | 118.7 |
| 113.6 | Points allowed / game | 111.7 |
| +3.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.9 |
| W1 | Current streak | W3 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 24-20 road | Home / road record | 34-9 home |
| 49-33 (+5.0) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Timberwolves
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.