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Magic vs Pistons prediction NBA · Sunday, May 3

FinalLittle Caesars Arena · ABC
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
45-37 · away
Final score
94-116
Projected: 109-117
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
60-22 · home
27% win ORLwin DET 73%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin7.8
Projected total226
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Detroit Pistons (63-25) host the Orlando Magic (49-41) on Sunday, May 3 at 3:30 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Magic 94 – Pistons 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 73% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 34-10 at home and the Magic are 20-24 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Pistons and 5-5 for the Magic (current streaks: Pistons W2, Magic L2).

The analysis Model

The Pistons start with a clear edge. The model projects Pistons 117 – 109 Magic, a margin of about 7.8 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+6.0 vs +0.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' offense (116.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pistons
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DET +6.0 / ORL +0.5 per game
+5.5
Home-court advantagePistons at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pistons
+7.8

Scenarios

Pistons win by 10+
43%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
26%
Magic win by 10+
8%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLDET
113.4
Points scored / game
116.4
112.8
Points allowed / game
109.4
44.2 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
31.4 %
3-point %
37.9 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
36.4
75.0 %
Free throw %
74.4 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
46.8
26.0
Assists / game
27.0
7.8
Steals / game
8.0
4.5
Blocks / game
7.2
17.8
Turnovers / game
15.6

Top performers

Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #538pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #56assists
Paolo BancheroF · #59rebounds
Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #232pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #212assists
Jalen DurenC · #015rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
DET
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 2-2 this season.

Oct 29ORL116 - 135DETNov 28ORL112 - 109DETMar 1DET106 - 92ORLApr 6DET107 - 123ORL

Team comparison

ORLDET
49-41Record63-25
113.4Points scored / game116.4
112.8Points allowed / game109.4
+0.5Adjusted margin / game+6.0
L2Current streakW2
5-5Last 10 games6-4
20-24 roadHome / road record34-10 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season44-38 (+1.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.