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Magic vs Pistons prediction NBA · Friday, November 28

FinalLittle Caesars Arena · FanDuel SN DET, FanDuel SN FL, NBA League Pass
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
12-8 · away
Final score
112-109
Projected: 112-116
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
15-4 · home
39% win ORLwin DET 61%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin3.5
Projected total228
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Detroit Pistons (15-3) host the Orlando Magic (11-8) on Friday, November 28 at 7:30 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Magic 112 – Pistons 109. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 61% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pistons are 8-1 at home and the Magic are 4-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Pistons and 7-3 for the Magic (current streaks: Pistons L1, Magic W1).

The analysis Model

The Pistons are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Pistons 116 – 112 Magic, a margin of about 3.5 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' offense (117.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pistons
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DET +3.9 / ORL +2.7 per game
+1.2
Home-court advantagePistons at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pistons
+3.5

Scenarios

Pistons win by 10+
30%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Magic win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLDET
114.1
Points scored / game
117.8
110.9
Points allowed / game
113.2
44.2 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
31.4 %
3-point %
37.9 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
36.4
75.0 %
Free throw %
74.4 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
46.8
26.0
Assists / game
27.0
7.8
Steals / game
8.0
4.5
Blocks / game
7.2
17.8
Turnovers / game
15.6

Top performers

Magic
Desmond BaneG · #337pts / game
Anthony BlackG · #04assists
Wendell Carter Jr.C · #3411rebounds
Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #239pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #211assists
Cade CunninghamG · #213rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
DET
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ORLDET
11-8Record15-3
114.1Points scored / game117.8
110.9Points allowed / game113.2
+2.7Adjusted margin / game+3.9
W1Current streakL1
7-3Last 10 games9-1
4-5 roadHome / road record8-1 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season44-38 (+1.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.