Pistons vs Magic prediction NBA · Sunday, March 1
At a glance
The Orlando Magic (31-27) host the Detroit Pistons (44-14) on Sunday, March 1 at 6:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 106 – Magic 92. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 60% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Magic are 18-11 at home and the Pistons are 20-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Magic and 8-2 for the Pistons (current streaks: Magic L1, Pistons W2).
The analysis Model
The Pistons are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Magic 112 – 115 Pistons, a margin of about 3.2 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+0.2 vs +5.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' offense (117.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DETORL
Top performers
Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #229pts / gameCade CunninghamG · #211assists
Ausar ThompsonG · #911reboundsMagic
Paolo BancheroF · #524pts / game
Desmond BaneG · #37assistsPaolo BancheroF · #511reboundsRecent form
DETORLHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
ORL
Team comparison
| DET | ORL | |
|---|---|---|
| 44-14 | Record | 31-27 |
| 117.2 | Points scored / game | 113.3 |
| 110.4 | Points allowed / game | 113.0 |
| +5.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.2 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 20-7 road | Home / road record | 18-11 home |
| 44-38 (+1.9) | Last season | 41-41 (-0.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pistons
Injury report Magic
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.