Pistons vs Magic prediction NBA · Monday, April 6
At a glance
The Orlando Magic (42-36) host the Detroit Pistons (57-21) on Monday, April 6 at 7:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 107 – Magic 123. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 67% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Magic are 24-16 at home and the Pistons are 26-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Magic and 8-2 for the Pistons (current streaks: Magic W2, Pistons W3).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Pistons, but the Magic have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Magic 110 – 116 Pistons, a margin of about 5.4 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Magic played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+0.0 vs +6.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' offense (117.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DETORL
Top performers
Pistons
Jalen DurenC · #018pts / game
Daniss JenkinsG · #247assistsJalen DurenC · #09reboundsMagic
Paolo BancheroF · #531pts / game
Jalen SuggsG · #412assistsJalen SuggsG · #46reboundsRecent form
DETORLHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
ORL
Team comparison
| DET | ORL | |
|---|---|---|
| 57-21 | Record | 42-36 |
| 117.2 | Points scored / game | 114.1 |
| 110.0 | Points allowed / game | 114.0 |
| +6.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.0 |
| W3 | Current streak | W2 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 26-12 road | Home / road record | 24-16 home |
| 44-38 (+1.9) | Last season | 41-41 (-0.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Pistons
Injury report Magic
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.