Pistons vs Magic prediction NBA · Friday, May 1
At a glance
The Orlando Magic (49-40) host the Detroit Pistons (62-25) on Friday, May 1 at 7:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 93 – Magic 79. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 59% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Magic are 29-16 at home and the Pistons are 28-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Magic and 6-4 for the Pistons (current streaks: Magic L1, Pistons W1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Pistons, but the Magic have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Magic 112 – 115 Pistons, a margin of about 3.0 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+0.6 vs +5.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DETORL
Top performers
Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #232pts / game
Ausar ThompsonG · #96assistsCade CunninghamG · #210reboundsMagic
Paolo BancheroF · #517pts / game
Jalen SuggsG · #47assistsPaolo BancheroF · #510reboundsRecent form
DETORLHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
ORL
Team comparison
| DET | ORL | |
|---|---|---|
| 62-25 | Record | 49-40 |
| 116.7 | Points scored / game | 113.7 |
| 109.7 | Points allowed / game | 113.0 |
| +5.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.6 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 28-15 road | Home / road record | 29-16 home |
| 44-38 (+1.9) | Last season | 41-41 (-0.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pistons
Injury report Magic
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.