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Magic vs Pistons prediction NBA · Wednesday, April 29

FinalLittle Caesars Arena · Prime Video
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
45-37 · away
Final score
109-116
Projected: 110-117
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
60-22 · home
27% win ORLwin DET 73%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin7.5
Projected total227
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Detroit Pistons (61-25) host the Orlando Magic (49-39) on Wednesday, April 29 at 7:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Magic 109 – Pistons 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 73% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 33-10 at home and the Magic are 20-23 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Pistons and 7-3 for the Magic (current streaks: Pistons L2, Magic W2).

The analysis Model

The Pistons start with a clear edge. The model projects Pistons 117 – 110 Magic, a margin of about 7.5 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+5.9 vs +0.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.7 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pistons
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DET +5.9 / ORL +0.7 per game
+5.2
Home-court advantagePistons at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pistons
+7.5

Scenarios

Pistons win by 10+
42%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
26%
Magic win by 10+
8%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLDET
113.8
Points scored / game
116.7
113.0
Points allowed / game
109.7
44.2 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
31.4 %
3-point %
37.9 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
36.4
75.0 %
Free throw %
74.4 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
46.8
26.0
Assists / game
27.0
7.8
Steals / game
8.0
4.5
Blocks / game
7.2
17.8
Turnovers / game
15.6

Top performers

Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #545pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #57assists
Paolo BancheroF · #59rebounds
Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #245pts / game
Ausar ThompsonG · #96assists
Ausar ThompsonG · #915rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
DET
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ORLDET
49-39Record61-25
113.8Points scored / game116.7
113.0Points allowed / game109.7
+0.7Adjusted margin / game+5.9
W2Current streakL2
7-3Last 10 games6-4
20-23 roadHome / road record33-10 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season44-38 (+1.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.