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Pistons vs Magic prediction NBA · Monday, April 27

FinalKia Center · NBC, Peacock
60% win DETwin ORL 40%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin3.1
Projected total227
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Orlando Magic (48-39) host the Detroit Pistons (61-24) on Monday, April 27 at 8:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 88 – Magic 94. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 60% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Magic are 28-16 at home and the Pistons are 28-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Magic and 7-3 for the Pistons (current streaks: Magic W1, Pistons L1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Pistons, but the Magic have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Magic 112 – 115 Pistons, a margin of about 3.1 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+0.6 vs +6.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' offense (117.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Magic
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ORL +0.6 / DET +6.0 per game
-5.4
Home-court advantageMagic at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Magic
-3.1

Scenarios

Magic win by 10+
15%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Pistons win by 10+
29%

Stat comparison Current season

DETORL
117.0
Points scored / game
114.0
109.9
Points allowed / game
113.2
45.9 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
37.9 %
3-point %
31.4 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
74.4 %
Free throw %
75.0 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
41.3
27.0
Assists / game
26.0
8.0
Steals / game
7.8
7.2
Blocks / game
4.5
15.6
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #225pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #26assists
Cade CunninghamG · #29rebounds
Magic
Desmond BaneG · #322pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #54assists
Wendell Carter Jr.C · #3411rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
ORL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DETORL
61-24Record48-39
117.0Points scored / game114.0
109.9Points allowed / game113.2
+6.0Adjusted margin / game+0.6
L1Current streakW1
7-3Last 10 games7-3
28-14 roadHome / road record28-16 home
44-38 (+1.9)Last season41-41 (-0.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.