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Pistons vs Magic prediction NBA · Saturday, April 25

FinalKia Center · NBCSN, Peacock
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
60-22 · away
Final score
105-113
Projected: 115-112
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
45-37 · home
60% win DETwin ORL 40%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin3.3
Projected total227
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Orlando Magic (47-39) host the Detroit Pistons (61-23) on Saturday, April 25 at 1:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 105 – Magic 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 60% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Magic are 27-16 at home and the Pistons are 28-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Magic and 7-3 for the Pistons (current streaks: Magic L1, Pistons W1).

The analysis Model

The Pistons are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Magic 112 – 115 Pistons, a margin of about 3.3 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+0.6 vs +6.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' offense (117.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Magic
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ORL +0.6 / DET +6.2 per game
-5.6
Home-court advantageMagic at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Magic
-3.3

Scenarios

Magic win by 10+
14%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Pistons win by 10+
30%

Stat comparison Current season

DETORL
117.1
Points scored / game
114.0
109.9
Points allowed / game
113.3
45.9 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
37.9 %
3-point %
31.4 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
74.4 %
Free throw %
75.0 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
41.3
27.0
Assists / game
26.0
8.0
Steals / game
7.8
7.2
Blocks / game
4.5
15.6
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #227pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #29assists
Jalen DurenC · #09rebounds
Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #525pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #59assists
Wendell Carter Jr.C · #3417rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
ORL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DETORL
61-23Record47-39
117.1Points scored / game114.0
109.9Points allowed / game113.3
+6.2Adjusted margin / game+0.6
W1Current streakL1
7-3Last 10 games7-3
28-13 roadHome / road record27-16 home
44-38 (+1.9)Last season41-41 (-0.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.