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Magic vs Pistons prediction NBA · Wednesday, April 22

FinalLittle Caesars Arena · ESPN
27% win ORLwin DET 73%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin7.7
Projected total228
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Detroit Pistons (60-23) host the Orlando Magic (47-38) on Wednesday, April 22 at 7:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Magic 83 – Pistons 98. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 73% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 32-10 at home and the Magic are 20-22 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Pistons and 7-3 for the Magic (current streaks: Pistons L1, Magic W2).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Pistons dominate this matchup. The model projects Pistons 118 – 110 Magic, a margin of about 7.7 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+6.1 vs +0.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' offense (117.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pistons
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DET +6.1 / ORL +0.7 per game
+5.4
Home-court advantagePistons at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pistons
+7.7

Scenarios

Pistons win by 10+
43%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
26%
Magic win by 10+
8%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLDET
114.3
Points scored / game
117.3
113.5
Points allowed / game
110.1
44.2 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
31.4 %
3-point %
37.9 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
36.4
75.0 %
Free throw %
74.4 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
46.8
26.0
Assists / game
27.0
7.8
Steals / game
8.0
4.5
Blocks / game
7.2
17.8
Turnovers / game
15.6

Top performers

Magic
Jalen SuggsG · #419pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #58assists
Franz WagnerF · #227rebounds
Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #227pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #211assists
Tobias HarrisF · #2311rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
DET
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ORLDET
47-38Record60-23
114.3Points scored / game117.3
113.5Points allowed / game110.1
+0.7Adjusted margin / game+6.1
W2Current streakL1
7-3Last 10 games7-3
20-22 roadHome / road record32-10 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season44-38 (+1.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.