Timberwolves vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Monday, April 27
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (55-31) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (52-34) on Monday, April 27 at 10:30 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 113 – Nuggets 125. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 59% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nuggets are 29-14 at home and the Timberwolves are 24-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Nuggets and 6-4 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Nuggets L3, Timberwolves W3).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Nuggets, but the Timberwolves have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Nuggets 119 – 116 Timberwolves, a margin of about 3.0 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The Timberwolves need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (121.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MINDEN
Top performers
Timberwolves
Julius RandleF · #3027pts / gameJulius RandleF · #306assistsJulius RandleF · #309reboundsNuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1527pts / gameNikola JokicC · #1516assistsNikola JokicC · #1512reboundsRecent form
MINDENHead-to-head
DEN lead 3-1 this season.
DEN
Team comparison
| MIN | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 52-34 | Record | 55-31 |
| 117.3 | Points scored / game | 121.2 |
| 113.6 | Points allowed / game | 116.7 |
| +3.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.8 |
| W3 | Current streak | L3 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 24-19 road | Home / road record | 29-14 home |
| 49-33 (+5.0) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Timberwolves
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.