Nuggets vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Saturday, November 15
At a glance
The Minnesota Timberwolves (8-4) host the Denver Nuggets (9-2) on Saturday, November 15 at 8:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 123 – Timberwolves 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 55% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Timberwolves are 3-2 at home and the Nuggets are 3-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Timberwolves and 9-1 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Timberwolves W4, Nuggets W6).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Timberwolves 115 – 117 Nuggets, a margin of about 1.7 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Timberwolves played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Timberwolves need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (122.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DENMIN
Top performers
Nuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1527pts / game
Jamal MurrayG · #2712assistsNikola JokicC · #1512reboundsTimberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #526pts / game
Julius RandleF · #308assistsAnthony EdwardsG · #58reboundsRecent form
DENMINHead-to-head
DEN lead 3-1 this season.
DEN
Team comparison
| DEN | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 9-2 | Record | 8-4 |
| 122.6 | Points scored / game | 117.9 |
| 114.1 | Points allowed / game | 112.3 |
| +7.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.7 |
| W6 | Current streak | W4 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 3-2 road | Home / road record | 3-2 home |
| 50-32 (+3.9) | Last season | 49-33 (+5.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Nuggets
Injury report Timberwolves
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.