Timberwolves vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Thursday, December 25
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (21-8) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (20-10) on Thursday, December 25 at 10:30 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 138 – Nuggets 142. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 63% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nuggets are 9-5 at home and the Timberwolves are 8-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Nuggets and 8-2 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Nuggets L1, Timberwolves W3).
The analysis Model
The Nuggets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Nuggets 120 – 115 Timberwolves, a margin of about 4.2 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The Timberwolves need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (123.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MINDEN
Top performers
Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #544pts / game
Donte DiVincenzoG · #08assists
Rudy GobertC · #2712reboundsNuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1556pts / gameNikola JokicC · #1515assistsNikola JokicC · #1516reboundsRecent form
MINDENHead-to-head
DEN lead 3-1 this season.
DEN
Team comparison
| MIN | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-10 | Record | 21-8 |
| 117.3 | Points scored / game | 123.9 |
| 112.3 | Points allowed / game | 116.6 |
| +4.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.2 |
| W3 | Current streak | L1 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 8-5 road | Home / road record | 9-5 home |
| 49-33 (+5.0) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Timberwolves
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.