Nuggets vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Saturday, April 25
At a glance
The Minnesota Timberwolves (51-34) host the Denver Nuggets (55-30) on Saturday, April 25 at 8:30 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 96 – Timberwolves 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 54% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Timberwolves are 27-15 at home and the Nuggets are 26-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Timberwolves and 8-2 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Timberwolves W2, Nuggets L2).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Timberwolves 118 – 117 Nuggets, a margin of about 1.3 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The Nuggets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (121.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DENMIN
Top performers
Nuggets
Jamal MurrayG · #2730pts / game
Nikola JokicC · #159assists
Nikola JokicC · #1515rebounds
Timberwolves
Ayo DosunmuG · #1343pts / game
Bones HylandG · #87assists
Rudy GobertC · #2715reboundsRecent form
DEN
MINHead-to-head
DEN lead 3-1 this season.
Team comparison
| DEN | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 55-30 | Record | 51-34 |
| 121.5 | Points scored / game | 117.4 |
| 116.8 | Points allowed / game | 113.8 |
| +4.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.0 |
| L2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 26-16 road | Home / road record | 27-15 home |
| 50-32 (+3.9) | Last season | 49-33 (+5.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nuggets
Injury report Timberwolves
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
DEN