Nuggets vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Thursday, April 23
At a glance
The Minnesota Timberwolves (50-34) host the Denver Nuggets (55-29) on Thursday, April 23 at 9:30 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 96 – Timberwolves 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 53% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Timberwolves are 26-15 at home and the Nuggets are 26-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Timberwolves and 9-1 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Timberwolves W1, Nuggets L1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Timberwolves 118 – 117 Nuggets, a margin of about 1.0 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The Nuggets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (121.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DENMIN
Top performers
Nuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1527pts / game
Jamal MurrayG · #274assistsNikola JokicC · #1515reboundsTimberwolves
Ayo DosunmuG · #1325pts / gameAyo DosunmuG · #139assists
Rudy GobertC · #2712reboundsRecent form
DENMINHead-to-head
DEN lead 3-1 this season.
DEN
Team comparison
| DEN | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 55-29 | Record | 50-34 |
| 121.8 | Points scored / game | 117.4 |
| 116.8 | Points allowed / game | 114.0 |
| +4.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.9 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 26-15 road | Home / road record | 26-15 home |
| 50-32 (+3.9) | Last season | 49-33 (+5.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nuggets
Injury report Timberwolves
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.