Timberwolves vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Monday, April 20
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (55-28) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (49-34) on Monday, April 20 at 10:30 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 119 – Nuggets 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 62% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Nuggets are 29-13 at home and the Timberwolves are 23-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 10-0 for the Nuggets and 4-6 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Nuggets W13, Timberwolves L1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Nuggets, but the Timberwolves have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Nuggets 119 – 116 Timberwolves, a margin of about 3.7 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The Timberwolves need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (121.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MINDEN
Top performers
Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #530pts / game
Julius RandleF · #306assistsAnthony EdwardsG · #510reboundsNuggets
Jamal MurrayG · #2730pts / game
Nikola JokicC · #158assistsNikola JokicC · #1515reboundsRecent form
MINDENHead-to-head
DEN lead 3-1 this season.
DEN
Team comparison
| MIN | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 49-34 | Record | 55-28 |
| 117.4 | Points scored / game | 121.8 |
| 114.0 | Points allowed / game | 116.8 |
| +2.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.3 |
| L1 | Current streak | W13 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 10-0 |
| 23-19 road | Home / road record | 29-13 home |
| 49-33 (+5.0) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Timberwolves
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.