Knicks vs Hawks prediction NBA · Thursday, April 30
At a glance
The Atlanta Hawks (48-39) host the New York Knicks (57-31) on Thursday, April 30 at 7:00 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 140 – Hawks 89. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 56% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hawks are 25-18 at home and the Knicks are 24-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Hawks and 7-3 for the Knicks (current streaks: Hawks L2, Knicks W2).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Hawks 114 – 116 Knicks, a margin of about 2.0 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+1.1 vs +5.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NYATL
Top performers
Knicks
OG AnunobyF · #829pts / game
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3210assistsKarl-Anthony TownsC · #3211reboundsHawks
Jalen JohnsonF · #121pts / gameJalen JohnsonF · #16assistsJalen JohnsonF · #18reboundsRecent form
NYATL
NY
Team comparison
| NY | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| 57-31 | Record | 48-39 |
| 116.3 | Points scored / game | 117.6 |
| 110.0 | Points allowed / game | 116.3 |
| +5.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.1 |
| W2 | Current streak | L2 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 24-20 road | Home / road record | 25-18 home |
| 51-31 (+4.1) | Last season | 40-42 (-1.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Knicks
Injury report Hawks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.