Knicks vs Hawks prediction NBA · Saturday, December 27
At a glance
The Atlanta Hawks (15-17) host the New York Knicks (22-9) on Saturday, December 27 at 8:00 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 128 – Hawks 125. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hawks are 5-10 at home and the Knicks are 6-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Hawks and 8-2 for the Knicks (current streaks: Hawks L5, Knicks W1).
The analysis Model
The Knicks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Hawks 114 – 120 Knicks, a margin of about 5.7 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Hawks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-1.0 vs +5.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NYATL
Top performers
Knicks
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3236pts / game
Mikal BridgesG · #258assistsKarl-Anthony TownsC · #3215reboundsHawks
Onyeka OkongwuF · #1731pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #112assistsOnyeka OkongwuF · #1714reboundsRecent form
NYATL
NY
Team comparison
| NY | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-9 | Record | 15-17 |
| 119.1 | Points scored / game | 118.5 |
| 112.8 | Points allowed / game | 119.7 |
| +5.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.0 |
| W1 | Current streak | L5 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 6-7 road | Home / road record | 5-10 home |
| 51-31 (+4.1) | Last season | 40-42 (-1.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Knicks
Injury report Hawks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.