Hawks vs Knicks prediction NBA · Friday, January 2
At a glance
The New York Knicks (24-10) host the Atlanta Hawks (16-19) on Friday, January 2 at 7:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 111 – Knicks 99. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 74% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Knicks are 16-2 at home and the Hawks are 10-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Knicks and 2-8 for the Hawks (current streaks: Knicks L1, Hawks W1).
The analysis Model
The Knicks start with a clear edge. The model projects Knicks 122 – 114 Hawks, a margin of about 8.2 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 236 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+5.1 vs -0.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ATLNY
Top performers
Hawks
Onyeka OkongwuF · #1723pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #111assists
Jalen JohnsonF · #110rebounds
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1124pts / game
Kevin McCullar Jr.G · #96assists
Ariel HukportiC · #5516reboundsRecent form
ATL
NYTeam comparison
| ATL | NY | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-19 | Record | 24-10 |
| 119.0 | Points scored / game | 119.8 |
| 119.9 | Points allowed / game | 113.8 |
| -0.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.1 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 10-8 road | Home / road record | 16-2 home |
| 40-42 (-1.1) | Last season | 51-31 (+4.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Hawks
Injury report Knicks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
NY