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Hawks vs Knicks prediction NBA · Friday, January 2

FinalMadison Square Garden · MSG, DAZN (MSG), FanDuel SN SE
26% win ATLwin NY 74%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin8.2
Projected total236
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The New York Knicks (24-10) host the Atlanta Hawks (16-19) on Friday, January 2 at 7:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 111 – Knicks 99. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 74% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Knicks are 16-2 at home and the Hawks are 10-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Knicks and 2-8 for the Hawks (current streaks: Knicks L1, Hawks W1).

The analysis Model

The Knicks start with a clear edge. The model projects Knicks 122 – 114 Hawks, a margin of about 8.2 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 236 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+5.1 vs -0.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +5.1 / ATL -0.8 per game
+5.9
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
+8.2

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
44%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
25%
Hawks win by 10+
7%

Stat comparison Current season

ATLNY
119.0
Points scored / game
119.8
119.9
Points allowed / game
113.8
46.9 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
34.8 %
3-point %
35.9 %
41.4
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
72.8 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
41.4
Rebounds / game
48.2
32.2
Assists / game
26.8
10.2
Steals / game
7.2
3.6
Blocks / game
4.4
14.0
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Hawks
Onyeka OkongwuF · #1723pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #111assists
Jalen JohnsonF · #110rebounds
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1124pts / game
Kevin McCullar Jr.G · #96assists
Ariel HukportiC · #5516rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ATL
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ATLNY
16-19Record24-10
119.0Points scored / game119.8
119.9Points allowed / game113.8
-0.8Adjusted margin / game+5.1
W1Current streakL1
2-8Last 10 games7-3
10-8 roadHome / road record16-2 home
40-42 (-1.1)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.