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Knicks vs Hawks prediction NBA · Monday, April 6

FinalState Farm Arena · Peacock, NBCSN, DAZN (MSG)
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
51-28 · away
Final score
108-105
Projected: 116-115
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks
45-34 · home
54% win NYwin ATL 46%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin1.1
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Atlanta Hawks (45-33) host the New York Knicks (51-28) on Monday, April 6 at 7:00 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 108 – Hawks 105. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 54% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hawks are 23-16 at home and the Knicks are 22-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Hawks and 7-3 for the Knicks (current streaks: Hawks W4, Knicks W2).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Hawks 115 – 116 Knicks, a margin of about 1.1 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hawks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ATL +1.9 / NY +5.3 per game
-3.4
Home-court advantageHawks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hawks
-1.1

Scenarios

Hawks win by 10+
19%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Knicks win by 10+
24%

Stat comparison Current season

NYATL
116.9
Points scored / game
118.6
110.6
Points allowed / game
116.4
42.2 %
Field goal %
46.9 %
35.9 %
3-point %
34.8 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
41.4
75.8 %
Free throw %
72.8 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
41.4
26.8
Assists / game
32.2
7.2
Steals / game
10.2
4.4
Blocks / game
3.6
14.8
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1130pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #1113assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3212rebounds
Hawks
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG · #736pts / game
CJ McCollumG · #36assists
Dyson DanielsG · #512rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
ATL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

NYATL
51-28Record45-33
116.9Points scored / game118.6
110.6Points allowed / game116.4
+5.3Adjusted margin / game+1.9
W2Current streakW4
7-3Last 10 games8-2
22-19 roadHome / road record23-16 home
51-31 (+4.1)Last season40-42 (-1.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.