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Hawks vs Knicks prediction NBA · Tuesday, April 28

FinalMadison Square Garden · NBC, Peacock
31% win ATLwin NY 69%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin6.1
Projected total230
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The New York Knicks (56-31) host the Atlanta Hawks (48-38) on Tuesday, April 28 at 8:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 97 – Knicks 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 69% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 32-11 at home and the Hawks are 23-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Knicks and 5-5 for the Hawks (current streaks: Knicks W1, Hawks L1).

The analysis Model

The Knicks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Knicks 118 – 112 Hawks, a margin of about 6.1 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +5.2 / ATL +1.4 per game
+3.8
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
+6.1

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
38%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Hawks win by 10+
10%

Stat comparison Current season

ATLNY
117.8
Points scored / game
116.2
116.2
Points allowed / game
110.1
46.9 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
34.8 %
3-point %
35.9 %
41.4
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
72.8 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
41.4
Rebounds / game
48.2
32.2
Assists / game
26.8
10.2
Steals / game
7.2
3.6
Blocks / game
4.4
14.0
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Hawks
Jalen JohnsonF · #118pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #16assists
Jalen JohnsonF · #110rebounds
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1139pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #118assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3214rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ATL
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ATLNY
48-38Record56-31
117.8Points scored / game116.2
116.2Points allowed / game110.1
+1.4Adjusted margin / game+5.2
L1Current streakW1
5-5Last 10 games7-3
23-20 roadHome / road record32-11 home
40-42 (-1.1)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.