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Knicks vs Hawks prediction NBA · Saturday, April 25

FinalState Farm Arena · NBC, Peacock
54% win NYwin ATL 46%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin1.3
Projected total230
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Atlanta Hawks (48-37) host the New York Knicks (55-31) on Saturday, April 25 at 6:00 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 114 – Hawks 98. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 54% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hawks are 25-17 at home and the Knicks are 23-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Hawks and 6-4 for the Knicks (current streaks: Hawks W2, Knicks L2).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Hawks 115 – 116 Knicks, a margin of about 1.3 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hawks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ATL +1.5 / NY +5.1 per game
-3.6
Home-court advantageHawks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hawks
-1.3

Scenarios

Hawks win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Knicks win by 10+
24%

Stat comparison Current season

NYATL
116.2
Points scored / game
118.0
110.2
Points allowed / game
116.2
42.2 %
Field goal %
46.9 %
35.9 %
3-point %
34.8 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
41.4
75.8 %
Free throw %
72.8 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
41.4
26.8
Assists / game
32.2
7.2
Steals / game
10.2
4.4
Blocks / game
3.6
14.8
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Knicks
OG AnunobyF · #822pts / game
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3210assists
OG AnunobyF · #810rebounds
Hawks
CJ McCollumG · #317pts / game
Dyson DanielsG · #56assists
Dyson DanielsG · #59rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
ATL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

NYATL
55-31Record48-37
116.2Points scored / game118.0
110.2Points allowed / game116.2
+5.1Adjusted margin / game+1.5
L2Current streakW2
6-4Last 10 games6-4
23-20 roadHome / road record25-17 home
51-31 (+4.1)Last season40-42 (-1.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.