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Hawks vs Knicks prediction NBA · Monday, April 20

FinalMadison Square Garden · NBC, Peacock
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks
46-36 · away
Final score
107-106
Projected: 112-118
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
53-29 · home
32% win ATLwin NY 68%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin6.0
Projected total231
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The New York Knicks (55-29) host the Atlanta Hawks (46-37) on Monday, April 20 at 8:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 107 – Knicks 106. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 68% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Knicks are 32-10 at home and the Hawks are 22-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Knicks and 5-5 for the Hawks (current streaks: Knicks W1, Hawks L2).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Knicks, but the Hawks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Knicks 118 – 112 Hawks, a margin of about 6.0 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +5.2 / ATL +1.6 per game
+3.7
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
+6.0

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
37%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Hawks win by 10+
10%

Stat comparison Current season

ATLNY
118.3
Points scored / game
116.4
116.4
Points allowed / game
110.3
46.9 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
34.8 %
3-point %
35.9 %
41.4
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
72.8 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
41.4
Rebounds / game
48.2
32.2
Assists / game
26.8
10.2
Steals / game
7.2
3.6
Blocks / game
4.4
14.0
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Hawks
CJ McCollumG · #332pts / game
CJ McCollumG · #36assists
Jalen JohnsonF · #18rebounds
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1129pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #117assists
Josh HartG · #313rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ATL
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ATLNY
46-37Record55-29
118.3Points scored / game116.4
116.4Points allowed / game110.3
+1.6Adjusted margin / game+5.2
L2Current streakW1
5-5Last 10 games6-4
22-20 roadHome / road record32-10 home
40-42 (-1.1)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.