Trail Blazers vs Spurs prediction NBA · Tuesday, April 28
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (65-22) host the Portland Trail Blazers (44-43) on Tuesday, April 28 at 9:30 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 95 – Spurs 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 76% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Spurs are 33-9 at home and the Trail Blazers are 20-24 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Spurs and 5-5 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Spurs W2, Trail Blazers L2).
The analysis Model
The Spurs start with a clear edge. The model projects Spurs 120 – 111 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 9.0 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+5.8 vs -0.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (118.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PORSA
Top performers
Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #822pts / game
Jrue HolidayG · #57assists
Toumani CamaraF · #338reboundsSpurs
De'Aaron FoxG · #421pts / gameDe'Aaron FoxG · #49assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #114reboundsRecent form
PORSA
SA
Team comparison
| POR | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 44-43 | Record | 65-22 |
| 114.3 | Points scored / game | 118.7 |
| 115.3 | Points allowed / game | 111.9 |
| -0.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.8 |
| L2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 20-24 road | Home / road record | 33-9 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Trail Blazers
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.