Trail Blazers vs Spurs prediction NBA · Saturday, January 3
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (25-10) host the Portland Trail Blazers (15-20) on Saturday, January 3 at 8:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 115 – Spurs 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 74% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Spurs are 12-4 at home and the Trail Blazers are 8-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Spurs and 6-4 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Spurs W2, Trail Blazers W1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Spurs dominate this matchup. The model projects Spurs 120 – 112 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 8.0 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Spurs and the Trail Blazers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+2.8 vs -2.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (118.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PORSA
Top performers
Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #829pts / gameDeni AvdijaF · #810assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2312reboundsSpurs
Luke KornetC · #723pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #59assists
Julian ChampagnieF · #3010reboundsRecent form
PORSA
SA
Team comparison
| POR | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-20 | Record | 25-10 |
| 115.0 | Points scored / game | 118.3 |
| 118.4 | Points allowed / game | 115.0 |
| -2.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.8 |
| W1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 8-11 road | Home / road record | 12-4 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Trail Blazers
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.