Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Spurs vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 26

FinalModa Center · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, FanDuel SN SW, NBA League Pass
55% win SAwin POR 45%
FavoriteSA
Projected margin1.7
Projected total232
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers (8-10) host the San Antonio Spurs (11-5) on Wednesday, November 26 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 115 – Trail Blazers 102. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 55% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Trail Blazers are 3-4 at home and the Spurs are 3-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Trail Blazers and 6-4 for the Spurs (current streaks: Trail Blazers W1, Spurs L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Trail Blazers 115 – 117 Spurs, a margin of about 1.7 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-2.1 vs +1.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -2.1 / SA +1.9 per game
-4.0
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
-1.7

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
17%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Spurs win by 10+
25%

Stat comparison Current season

SAPOR
116.4
Points scored / game
116.0
114.1
Points allowed / game
118.4
46.0 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
34.6 %
3-point %
38.9 %
38.2
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
78.3 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
45.0
Rebounds / game
46.3
28.2
Assists / game
30.7
9.8
Steals / game
8.3
6.6
Blocks / game
2.7
12.8
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Spurs
De'Aaron FoxG · #437pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #48assists
Julian ChampagnieF · #3011rebounds
Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #837pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #88assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2311rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SA
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

SAPOR
11-5Record8-10
116.4Points scored / game116.0
114.1Points allowed / game118.4
+1.9Adjusted margin / game-2.1
L1Current streakW1
6-4Last 10 games3-7
3-3 roadHome / road record3-4 home
34-48 (-2.8)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

San Antonio Spurs Injury report Spurs

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.