Trail Blazers vs Spurs prediction NBA · Wednesday, April 8
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (60-20) host the Portland Trail Blazers (40-39) on Wednesday, April 8 at 9:30 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 101 – Spurs 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 76% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Spurs are 30-7 at home and the Trail Blazers are 18-22 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Spurs and 7-3 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Spurs W1, Trail Blazers L1).
The analysis Model
The Spurs start with a clear edge. The model projects Spurs 120 – 111 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 8.7 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+5.7 vs -0.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (118.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PORSA
Top performers
Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #829pts / gameDeni AvdijaF · #86assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2311reboundsSpurs
De'Aaron FoxG · #425pts / gameDe'Aaron FoxG · #47assists
Keldon JohnsonF · #38reboundsRecent form
PORSA
SA
Team comparison
| POR | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 40-39 | Record | 60-20 |
| 115.0 | Points scored / game | 118.9 |
| 115.8 | Points allowed / game | 112.2 |
| -0.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.7 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 18-22 road | Home / road record | 30-7 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Trail Blazers
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.