Spurs vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Sunday, April 26
At a glance
The Portland Trail Blazers (44-42) host the San Antonio Spurs (64-22) on Sunday, April 26 at 3:30 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 114 – Trail Blazers 93. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 63% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Trail Blazers are 24-18 at home and the Spurs are 31-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Trail Blazers and 7-3 for the Spurs (current streaks: Trail Blazers L1, Spurs W1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Spurs, but the Trail Blazers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Trail Blazers 113 – 117 Spurs, a margin of about 4.1 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-0.7 vs +5.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (118.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SAPOR
Top performers
Spurs
De'Aaron FoxG · #428pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #58assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #112reboundsTrail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #826pts / game
Jrue HolidayG · #54assistsDeni AvdijaF · #87reboundsRecent form
SAPOR
SA
Team comparison
| SA | POR | |
|---|---|---|
| 64-22 | Record | 44-42 |
| 118.8 | Points scored / game | 114.5 |
| 112.1 | Points allowed / game | 115.3 |
| +5.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -0.7 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 31-13 road | Home / road record | 24-18 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 36-46 (-3.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Trail Blazers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.