Raptors vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Sunday, May 3
At a glance
The Cleveland Cavaliers (55-33) host the Toronto Raptors (49-39) on Sunday, May 3 at 7:30 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 102 – Cavaliers 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 64% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 30-14 at home and the Raptors are 22-22 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Cavaliers and 6-4 for the Raptors (current streaks: Cavaliers L1, Raptors W1).
The analysis Model
The Cavaliers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Cavaliers 117 – 113 Raptors, a margin of about 4.6 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Cavaliers' offense (119.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
TORCLE
Top performers
Raptors
Scottie BarnesF · #424pts / game
Jamal SheadG · #237assistsScottie BarnesF · #49reboundsCavaliers
Jarrett AllenC · #3122pts / game
Max StrusG · #315assistsJarrett AllenC · #3119reboundsRecent form
TORCLE
TOR
Team comparison
| TOR | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| 49-39 | Record | 55-33 |
| 114.0 | Points scored / game | 119.3 |
| 112.2 | Points allowed / game | 114.8 |
| +1.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.8 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 22-22 road | Home / road record | 30-14 home |
| 30-52 (-4.3) | Last season | 64-18 (+9.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Raptors
Injury report Cavaliers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.