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Cavaliers vs Raptors prediction NBA · Monday, November 24

FinalScotiabank Arena · Peacock, FanDuel SN OH, Sportsnet
55% win CLEwin TOR 45%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin1.6
Projected total232
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Toronto Raptors (12-5) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (12-6) on Monday, November 24 at 7:00 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 99 – Raptors 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 55% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Raptors are 5-2 at home and the Cavaliers are 4-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Raptors and 7-3 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Raptors W7, Cavaliers W2).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Raptors 115 – 117 Cavaliers, a margin of about 1.6 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Raptors and the Cavaliers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (120.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Raptors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)TOR +1.8 / CLE +5.7 per game
-3.9
Home-court advantageRaptors at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Raptors
-1.6

Scenarios

Raptors win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Cavaliers win by 10+
25%

Stat comparison Current season

CLETOR
120.7
Points scored / game
116.8
114.0
Points allowed / game
114.7
46.8 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
36.7 %
3-point %
30.4 %
37.5
3-pointers attempted / game
34.5
79.3 %
Free throw %
79.0 %
47.0
Rebounds / game
45.8
26.3
Assists / game
27.3
8.8
Steals / game
14.3
7.5
Blocks / game
5.5
17.3
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4517pts / game
Donovan MitchellG · #458assists
Jaylon TysonG · #209rebounds
Raptors
Brandon IngramF · #737pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #57assists
Jakob PoeltlC · #1913rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CLE
No games played yet.
TOR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CLETOR
12-6Record12-5
120.7Points scored / game116.8
114.0Points allowed / game114.7
+5.7Adjusted margin / game+1.8
W2Current streakW7
7-3Last 10 games9-1
4-3 roadHome / road record5-2 home
64-18 (+9.5)Last season30-52 (-4.3)
YesPlayed yesterdayYes

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.