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Raptors vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Friday, October 31

FinalRocket Arena · FanDuel SN OH, TSN, NBA League Pass
16% win TORwin CLE 84%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin12.4
Projected total233
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (3-2) host the Toronto Raptors (1-4) on Friday, October 31 at 7:30 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 112 – Cavaliers 101. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 84% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Cavaliers are 1-0 at home and the Raptors are 1-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-2 for the Cavaliers and 1-4 for the Raptors (current streaks: Cavaliers L1, Raptors L4).

The analysis Model

The Cavaliers start with a clear edge. The model projects Cavaliers 123 – 110 Raptors, a margin of about 12.4 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+6.0 vs -4.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (120.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Cavaliers' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +6.0 / TOR -4.2 per game
+10.1
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+12.4

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
58%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
19%
Raptors win by 10+
4%

Stat comparison Current season

TORCLE
114.0
Points scored / game
120.3
118.9
Points allowed / game
113.2
44.2 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
30.4 %
3-point %
36.7 %
34.5
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
79.0 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
45.8
Rebounds / game
47.0
27.3
Assists / game
26.3
14.3
Steals / game
8.8
5.5
Blocks / game
7.5
14.0
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Raptors
Brandon IngramF · #720pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #56assists
Scottie BarnesF · #410rebounds
Cavaliers
Evan MobleyC · #429pts / game
Lonzo BallG · #25assists
Evan MobleyC · #48rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
TOR
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Team comparison

TORCLE
1-4Record3-2
114.0Points scored / game120.3
118.9Points allowed / game113.2
-4.2Adjusted margin / game+6.0
L4Current streakL1
1-4Last 10 games3-2
1-2 roadHome / road record1-0 home
30-52 (-4.3)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.