Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Raptors vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Thursday, November 13

FinalRocket Arena · FanDuel SN OH, TSN, NBA TV
27% win TORwin CLE 73%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin7.7
Projected total233
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (8-4) host the Toronto Raptors (6-5) on Thursday, November 13 at 7:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 126 – Cavaliers 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 73% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Cavaliers are 4-1 at home and the Raptors are 4-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Cavaliers and 5-5 for the Raptors (current streaks: Cavaliers W1, Raptors W1).

The analysis Model

The Cavaliers start with a clear edge. The model projects Cavaliers 120 – 112 Raptors, a margin of about 7.7 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Cavaliers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (+6.3 vs -0.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (122.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +6.3 / TOR -0.7 per game
+7.0
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backCavaliers played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+7.7

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
43%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
26%
Raptors win by 10+
8%

Stat comparison Current season

TORCLE
114.9
Points scored / game
122.4
115.7
Points allowed / game
115.0
44.2 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
30.4 %
3-point %
36.7 %
34.5
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
79.0 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
45.8
Rebounds / game
47.0
27.3
Assists / game
26.3
14.3
Steals / game
8.8
5.5
Blocks / game
7.5
14.0
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Raptors
Scottie BarnesF · #428pts / game
Scottie BarnesF · #48assists
Scottie BarnesF · #410rebounds
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4531pts / game
Donovan MitchellG · #456assists
Evan MobleyC · #49rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
TOR
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Team comparison

TORCLE
6-5Record8-4
114.9Points scored / game122.4
115.7Points allowed / game115.0
-0.7Adjusted margin / game+6.3
W1Current streakW1
5-5Last 10 games7-3
4-3 roadHome / road record4-1 home
30-52 (-4.3)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.