Spurs vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Friday, April 24
At a glance
The Portland Trail Blazers (44-41) host the San Antonio Spurs (63-22) on Friday, April 24 at 10:30 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 120 – Trail Blazers 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 62% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Trail Blazers are 24-17 at home and the Spurs are 30-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Trail Blazers and 7-3 for the Spurs (current streaks: Trail Blazers W1, Spurs L1).
The analysis Model
The Spurs are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Trail Blazers 113 – 117 Spurs, a margin of about 3.9 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-0.6 vs +5.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (118.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SAPOR
Top performers
Spurs
Stephon CastleG · #533pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #46assists
Dylan HarperG · #210reboundsTrail Blazers
Jrue HolidayG · #529pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #89assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2311reboundsRecent form
SAPOR
SA
Team comparison
| SA | POR | |
|---|---|---|
| 63-22 | Record | 44-41 |
| 118.8 | Points scored / game | 114.6 |
| 112.1 | Points allowed / game | 115.3 |
| +5.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -0.6 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 30-13 road | Home / road record | 24-17 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 36-46 (-3.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Trail Blazers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.